Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 34 active outcome markets. Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 99%, AfD: 88%, Amal Movement: 10%.
Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1124648