Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
FM Estimate
68%Market Price
71%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 7 active outcome markets. the Republican Party: 87%, the Republican Party: 80%, the Democratic Party: 76%.
Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284338