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Markets/Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?
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Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?

19%YES
81%NO
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask18% / 19%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026

FM Estimate

16%

Market Price

19%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. the Republican Party: 87%, the Republican Party: 80%, the Democratic Party: 76%.

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284680