ForecastMind
Markets/Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
Share on X

Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?

80%YES
20%NO
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$12K
Bid / Ask78% / 81%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026

FM Estimate

77%

Market Price

80%
↑ Overpriced 2.7pp
Macro fundamentals-5.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. the Republican Party: 87%, the Republican Party: 80%, the Democratic Party: 76%.

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 80%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284679