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Markets/Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?
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Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?

95%YES
5%NO
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$30K
Bid / Ask94% / 95%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026

FM Estimate

93%

Market Price

95%
↑ Overpriced 1.1pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-1.2pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarketanchor
PredictIt

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1285192