Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?
FM Estimate
90%Market Price
93%This event has 26 active outcome markets. the Democratic Party: 95%, the Democratic Party: 94%, the Democratic Party: 94%.
Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1283281