Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will United States win on 2026-03-31?
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$44K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
21% / 23%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will United States win on 2026-03-31?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will United States win on 2026-03-31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499146
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Türkiye: 100%, Sweden: 100%, Portugal: 60%.
United States win on 2026-03-31?
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this