Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$334K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
55% / 56%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $334K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499148
This event has 12 active outcome markets. Türkiye: 100%, Sweden: 100%, Portugal: 53%.
Portugal win on 2026-03-31?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this