Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Closed March 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$327
Bid / Ask
0% / 14%
Spread
13.80pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state…
2026
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 13.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Green Alliance win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1501208
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.