Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Closed March 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state…
2026
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will MIRA-CJL win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1501212
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.