Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$307K
Bid / Ask
50% / 52%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515633
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5: 83%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5: 63%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5: 51%.
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
51% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this