ForecastMind
Markets/Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5
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Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$346

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

29% / 33%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $346 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515635

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5: 81%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5: 63%, Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5: 51%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 69¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this