ForecastMind
Markets/Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
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Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

82%YES
19%NO

Volume 24h

$178

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

81% / 82%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

82%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $178 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1552107

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5: 82%, Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5: 61%, Lightning vs. Sabres: 52%.

Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5

82%
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
61%
Lightning vs. Sabres
52%
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
50%
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
30%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 82%99%
Buy YES@ 82¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.7%
½ Kelly1.4%
Buy NO@ 19¢

-2.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this