ForecastMind
Markets/Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
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Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
38%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

61% / 63%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1552108

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5: 82%, Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5: 62%, Lightning vs. Sabres: 52%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

62% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this