Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$161K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1552109
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5: 82%, Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5: 61%, Lightning vs. Sabres: 52%.
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this