Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
65% / 70%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598504
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hurricanes vs. Utah: 84%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5: 76%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5: 45%.
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
83% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
82% → 87%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
87% YES (+5.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this