Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
37% / 40%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
45%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598505
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Hurricanes vs. Utah: 84%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 4.5: 76%, Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5: 45%.
Hurricanes vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
61% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
64% YES (+2.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this