Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Closed March 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
5% / 21%
Spread
16.40pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 16.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665611
This event has 6 active outcome markets. DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?: 100%, DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?: 75%, DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?: 21%.
DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this