Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 06:01 AM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES

16%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

83% / 85%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

89%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+5.9pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 30?

March

Full event →

above $1,700 on March 30?

100%

above $1,600 on March 30?

100%

above $1,900 on March 30?

99%

above $2,000 on March 30?

84%

above $2,100 on March 30?

14%

above $2,200 on March 30?

above $2,300 on March 30?

above $2,400 on March 30?

above $2,600 on March 30?

above $2,500 on March 30?

10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+30.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +15.5pp

58% → 74%

Mar 30, 2026

Peak probability

85% YES — highest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Current

84% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 84%99%

Buy YES@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692105

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