Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$33K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
11% / 13%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705512
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 52%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 35%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 10%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Marc
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
4% YES — lowest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -17.6pp
26% → 8%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
27% YES — highest in period
Mar 30, 2026
Current
10% YES (+1.4pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this