Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 31?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705523
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 50%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 36%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 10%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Marc
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -6.5pp
12% → 6%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this