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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$23K

Liquidity

$5K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705584

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 31: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 31: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 31: 99%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+9.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +13.0pp

12% → 25%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

25% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

18% YES (-7.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this