Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
FM Estimate
4%Market Price
7%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 20 active outcome markets. Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 100%, AfD: 86%, Progressive Bulgaria (PB): 61%.
Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30pp. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1737534