ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 3?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 3?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

0% / 3%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 3?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743682

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-4.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

7% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

2% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this