Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
73% / 75%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
79%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 79%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743636
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 2?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 3?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
68% YES (+3.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this