ForecastMind
Markets/Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
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Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
64%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$41K

Bid / Ask

34% / 37%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823797

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢

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EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 64¢

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this