Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$574K
Liquidity
$364K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $574K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1754531
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Paris FC: 100%, AS Roma: 100%, Real Madrid CF: 74%.
Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
74% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -64.5pp
65% → 0%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (-64.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this