Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$284K
Liquidity
$236K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $284K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1754533
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Paris FC: 100%, AS Roma: 100%, Girona FC: 11%.
Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -11.5pp
12% → 0%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (-11.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this