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Markets/Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
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Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

22%YES
78%NO

Volume 24h

$57

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

20% / 24%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Pistons vs. Thunder

Full event →
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
48%
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5
46%
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
45%
Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
22%
Pistons vs. Thunder
16%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 22%99%
Buy YES@ 22¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 78¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $57 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786812

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.