Markets/Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:33 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES

54%NO

Volume 24h

$207K

Liquidity

$59K

Bid / Ask

47% / 48%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Pistons vs. Thunder

Full event →

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

48%

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

46%

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

45%

Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

22%

Pistons vs. Thunder

16%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

48% YES (-4.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 46%99%

Buy YES@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $207K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1789470

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.