Markets/Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:31 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES

53%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

49% / 50%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Pistons vs. Thunder

Full event →

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

48%

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

46%

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

45%

Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

22%

Pistons vs. Thunder

16%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -5.0pp

55% → 50%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

50% YES (-5.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 48%99%

Buy YES@ 48¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792130

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.