ForecastMind
Markets/LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5
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LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
72%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

8% / 49%

Spread

41.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 41.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798755

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5: 47%, LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5: 38%, LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5: 28%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

28% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

29% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%
½ Kelly0.9%
Buy NO+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this