ForecastMind
Markets/LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5
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LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

28% / 48%

Spread

20.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 20.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798773

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5: 47%, LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5: 39%, LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5: 28%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

47% → 39%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

47% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

39% YES (-8.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this