ForecastMind
Markets/LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5
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LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

46% / 49%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

48%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798765

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5: 49%, LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5: 48%, LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5: 28%.

LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5

48%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

47% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this