ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Share on X

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
39%NO

Volume 24h

$2.6M

Liquidity

$200K

Bid / Ask

57% / 58%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1806939

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

33% YES (+4.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 39¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this