ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

68%YES
32%NO

Volume 24h

$106K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

51% / 73%

Spread

22.00pp

Expert Signal

68%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $106K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 22.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1873575

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+28.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

77%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +32.5pp

44% → 77%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

77% YES (+32.5pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 68%99%
Buy YES@ 68¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 32¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this