ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

61% / 66%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885807

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5: 100%, Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 121.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+22.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

67%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +27.5pp

39% → 67%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

67% YES (+27.5pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this