Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.6% ↑, ETH +1.1% ↑, S&P +0.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
95% / 96%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1807998
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
97% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
96% YES (-1.6pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
+7.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this