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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 7?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.70pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+42.9pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 7?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808004

Outcome Markets11 markets

This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

2% YES (-0.4pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-28.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly28.6%
½ Kelly14.3%
Buy NO+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 28.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this