Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
57% / 59%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817343
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 57%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 39%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 5%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
7% YES — lowest in period
Apr 4, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: +26.0pp
14% → 41%
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
62% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
60% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this