Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$66K
Liquidity
$39K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $66K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823780
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 89%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 51%, December 31, 2026: 49%.
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
51% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this