Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$36K
Liquidity
$99K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823794
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 72%, Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 40%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 19%.
Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
23% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
3% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -19.0pp
23% → 4%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
4% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.6%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this