Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$83K
Bid / Ask
18% / 20%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823796
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 71%, Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 39%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 19%.
Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
26% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
16% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -9.5pp
26% → 16%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
19% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this