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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?

Closes April 10, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
98%FIS
+3ppvs market 95%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +2.9pp above current market price; market at 95% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.9% ↑
+5.2pp
Live compute05:38 PM

Polymarket Price

95%YES
5%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

95% / 96%

Spread

1.80pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+3.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846018

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.4pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 95%99%
Buy YES@ 95¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 5¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this