Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.2pp above current market price; market at 8% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
8% / 14%
Spread
6.50pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 6.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846022
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this