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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?

Closes April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
2%FIS

Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.3% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑
-0.2pp
Live compute02:43 AM

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$710

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $710 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831399

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this