Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
1% / 3%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862481
This event has 14 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 11: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 11: 100%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this