Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.3pp above current market price; market at 11% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.7% ↑, ETH +2.7% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
10% / 11%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862489
This event has 23 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 10: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 10: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this