Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 6% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.6% ↓, ETH -0.5% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$40K
Bid / Ask
5% / 6%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885995
This event has 23 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 43%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?: 42%, Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?: 17%.
Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+9.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this