Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?
Closes April 8, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.8% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1901412
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 7?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 40%, Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 6-12?: 36%.
Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.6pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this